NIFTY FUTURES

MARCH SERIES : PREPARATORY WORK AND A FREE CIRCULATORY COPY ONLY

NIFTY FUTURES FOR 20.05.2013 Monday .


What to expect tomorrow : Nifty future’s projected high and low for next session is 6219 – 6129 ( projection only)

Immediate and major resistance for nifty future’s is now seen at  6209 -6219  zone  &  this is  a  very crucial resistance zone. only on crossing  6219  zone nifty futures will start to test  it’s previous  resistance  zone of  6245 on long term time frame and trades for more than 5 min – 10 min above this zone  fresh long positions will be added here by positional bulls to attempt to get  higher targets of 6294 levels. Only on conquering 6219 -6221 where heavy resistance is seen you can see any up move towards 6245. Nifty futures will turn bullish only if it trades above 6245 level and this zone is very crucial for positional traders. Trading above this zone you can see a sudden spike towards 6295 -6301 also.
 
On the downside immediate and major support seen for nifty futures is at at 6180 -6170  level  and only on breaking this zone of  6170 level & trading for more than 3 min time  nifty futures will crack  to test 6150.Trading below 6150 is crucial as the bears may try dragging the index down to test  nifty futures levels of  6124 level where  its medium term trend support is seen on daily charts, Nifty futures has made a good 718 point upmove from the lows of 5580 zone where our buys were initiated and now looks all set for a healthy correction. The bears will come into play at highs of 6207 to 6220 levels as they have nothing to loose as the stops are well defined so be very cautious at higher levels and trade with strict stop losses. For the bears the stops are to be placed at 6245 zones and for the bulls the stop to be placed is 6150 level.
Candle pattern daily chart : The daily candle pattern is a spinning top candle pattern and shows a trend reversal is in the making.Check for divergences on daily high frequency oscillators
  
For the conservative nifty trader see the levels below & trade: Stop is a must

For long on nifty futures buy only above : 6221  level for a target of  6241 – 6247 – 6262 – 6287  & 6307  with a stop at  level 6194

For short on nifty futures sell only below : 6170  level for targets 6150 – 6144 – 6130 – 6105 & 6085  with stop at level 6199


Nifty future’s should at least trade 3 min and above to initiate trade’s
NIFTY FUTURES PIVOTS LEVEL FOR THE DAY 20.05.2013
CLOSE/OPEN S3 S2 S1 PIVOT R1 R2 R3
6196 6106 6129 6162 6185 6219 6142 6276

Relative strength of nifty hourly time frame is 65 and on Day chart 68 , volatility:  movement : High .Put call ratio seen at 1   & Sideways to + ve momentum seen

Trade for the Day  from the 20.5.2013 onwards  only for professional swing traders and not for investment purpose

Script name last close Stop loss L- 1 Centre L-2 L- 3 COVER L- 4 COVER RSI Reversal value
IDFC Futures 164.40  161.90 162.50  164  166  167.50  63 161
 171.50 Pattern : Inv H&S
No shorting only long
Buy here Buy here cover cover trade on this stock ft

 

Trade for the day 20.05.2013 : 

Buy Ambuja cements : Buy Ambuja cement trading at 191.50 cmp : Buy this stock future with a stop at 184.80 level and trade long for a target of 194 – 197.50 and positional players can look for a target of 201 also in 2 to 4 sessions.Day traders should exit at first two levels

Sell HCL Tech futures : Sell HCL Tech futures trading at 723.70 level : Sell this stock futures at 723 to 733 range and maintain a positional stop above 755 and aggressive traders maintain stop at 747 on closing basis for targets of  712 – 700 -681. Day traders should exit at first two levels and positional traders look for lower target of 681 in 3 to 5 sessions

 

 

 

 

How to trade: The above mentioned stock or stock future’s is a buy on dip’s strategy ,buy around 50 % of the intended quantity at pivot point and add more at level one area and keep a stop at the given stop loss zone .If the stock opens at this zones in the morning session,buy and cover part profits at level 3 zone and trail stops just below pivot or level 2 area and for the balance qty or the rest of the quantity cover at level 4 areas. If stock dips below the level 1 zone wait for stock to retrace back to L-1 and above buy with the given stop loss .If a stock opens above the level 3 areas your trailing stop is just a small bip below pivot to trade long. Aggressive traders can short the same stock if opens at L-3 zone by keeping a tight stop at a tad higher than L-4 as stop loss and cover part at pivot areas and trail stops the other way round. I have updated the details of how to trade this system in the next page .Visit on the page new topic for more details on how to trade.

Always cover 50 % of your positions at target one and trail stops just below center point as the stock will find resistance at level 3 areas and trade reverses again back to lower levels.will update a page on how to play with these levels.

I have updated on how to trade the Camarilla equation on the page New topic.Go through the details and note down and than after 2 or 3 days will update on how to combine Fibonacci and the Camarilla and play around with the levels.

CNX NIFTY OR CASH NIFTY LEVELS

Underlying value-0000 Sup@ Sup Pivot Res@ Res@ Rsi@00

 

RECAP OF TRADE ON  : 06.05.13

 

Nifty futures no trade as traded siseways

Trade for the day 06.05.2013 :

BUY BATA INDIA FUTURES : Buy Bata India futures trading @ 769.35 cmp : Buy this stock future only above 764.70 ( Break out zone point ) Maintain a stop below 748 level and trade long for a target of  781 – 792 for day traders and positional traders can consider targets of 811 and 860 level in about 10 to 12 trading sessions. Do not short this stock future strictly.Buy only stock future.

Bata futures hits target one are of 780 for the day

SELL CANARA BANK FUTURES: Sell Canara Bank futures trading @ 395.90 cmp : Sell this stock future on a rally to levels of 400 – 402 with a tight stop above 409 level for a lower target of 387 – 379 and 367 and positional traders should look for targets of 360 also in about 4 to 5 trading sessions and positional traders stop to be maintained above the breakdown zone of 413.70 level

Canara bank futures almost bangs targets 2 zone and makes a low of 383 

Tata steel futures buy call was up by 4 % and hits our target 2 zone and above

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Live calls will be posted during trading hour’s :

 

NIFTY FUTURES CHART : AS ON 20.05.13

 

NF 17.05.13

PARAMETERS USED TO SELECT TRADES : Relative strength index: macd : highs and lows: bearish and bullish divergence: last daily candle : reconfirmed with commodity channel index and composite index: break out levels: pivot’s with aide of supports and resistance: nifty levels also precisely cross checked: moving averages cross over’s the golden and dead crosses : stochastic index : Volumes : Divergence